Buy Now or Risk Higher Prices!

As we approach the end of our summer break from school you will likely see real estate activity pick up. There are still a lot of homebuyers out there and most people don't like to move during the school year, especially if their kids have to change schools. People just don't want to disrupt their kids routines and they're absolutely correct. So those interested in buying a home will likely ramp up their efforts to close on that home and get moved in before the new school year begins, which is just 5 or 6 weeks from now for most of us.

This increase in buying activity will also help stabilize the housing market even more. The Case-Shiller Home Price Index, which tracks home prices in 20 of the nation's most populace cities, indicates that for the fourth consecutive month the pace at which home prices declined slowed considerably. What this means to you is that if you now know this information, it is likely that the short sale and foreclosure lenders know it also. This means that we may see lenders less willing to pay a buyer's closing costs because they see a recovery in the works.

That recovery is also evidenced by an ongoing decrease in the inventory of homes for sale. It appears that the combination of low home values, low interest rates and the $8,000 First-Time Homebuyer Tax Credit are working to stabilize the housing market. Let me encourage you to download the report I wrote called "Understanding the First-Time Homebuyer Tax Credit", which explains how the $8,000 Tax Credit works. Read it for yourself and give it to those you believe would benefit from knowing this credit is available to them.

It has been said that over 60% of first-time homebuyers don't even know the tax credit exists and adding to the pick up in activity will be the rush to buy a home prior to the expiration of the tax credit. I have included a countdown timer in the upper right-hand corner of this blog and my website www.YourFavoriteLender.com to remind homebuyers how much time they have left. For those that miss the boat, they will have lost out on an $8,000 gift from the government for doing something they intended to do anyway. Please help me get the word out about the tax credit.

To recap, there are several dynamics in motion right now that make now the best time to buy a home. They are as follows: 1) The lowest home prices seen in years
2) The lowest interest rates seen in years
3) The first-time homebuyer tax credit and that it expires November 30, 2009
4) As lenders and sellers perceive that a bottom is forming they will be less inclined to agree to a credit to the buyer for closing costs
5) Decreasing inventory of homes for sale feeds the lenders and sellers belief that the bottom is here leading to #4
6) An abundance of homebuyers competing for a decreasing inventory of homes for sale These six points show the market moving in a direction that benefits the buyer less and less. It is very likely that months from now or years from now as you look back on this time in the real estate market you will see that this was the best time you could have pulled the trigger on buying a home.

What You Need To Know About The Current Real Estate Market - Part III

Typically, the real estate market is either neutral, controlled by the seller or controlled by the buyer. However, in today's market we are dealing with an anomaly not seen since the early '90s; The Short Sale! In this commentary I will cover details of a market controlled by a new player; The Lender.

In part I of this commentary I described the characteristics of a seller's market, which is what we experienced from about 2002 to 2007. A seller's market typically results in rapid home price appreciation and many buyers are unable to buy because they are simply priced out of the market.

In part II of this commentary I described the characteristics of a buyer's market, which we began to experience in late 2007. But that lasted just a year or so, until lenders became the sole decision maker in a very high percentage of home sales due to short sales and foreclosures.

A lender's market resembles and shares characteristics of both a buyer's and a seller's market, yet has some of its own distinctive characteristics, as evidenced by the following:
1) An abundance of homes for sale, giving buyers greater options
2) An abundance of interested, qualified and active homebuyers
In this case, the dynamics of supply and demand are tilted on their side because there are plenty of homes for sale and plenty of buyers ready, willing, and able to buy them.
3) Real estate agents and lenders tend to list homes for sale for significantly less than the homes actual value in order to generate multiple offers
4) Virtually every home has multiple offers; some as many as 40 offers
5) Homes tend to sell for more, and sometimes significantly more, than the asking or list price
6) Offers to purchase can require multiple approvals; first is acceptance by the seller of the home, and in the case of a short sale, a second approval by the lender(s)
7) Lender approval on a short sale can take several months, leading to a great deal of frustration for the buyer, the real estate agent, and the buyer's lender
8) Homes are offered in "as-is" condition
8a) Termite inspections are routinely excluded
8b) Requests from the buyer for repairs are denied
9) Lenders tend to dictate the terms of the purchase contract
9a) Lenders tend to shy away from FHA and VA offers (I will cover this in more detail in a future commentary)
9b) A disproportionate amount of all cash offers, which tend to be real estate investors either looking to fix up the home and flip it for a profit or hold until the market rebounds
9c) Lenders will entertain a credit to the buyer for closing costs, though there are certain lenders that simply refuse to pay the buyer's costs due to some "company policy"
9d) Lenders rarely entertain contingent offers, which are offers contingent upon the buyer finding a buyer for their own home. This isn't typically a problem in today's market because most home sales are to first-time buyers
9e) Time frames for appraisal and loan approval contingencies, currently 17 days from date of acceptance, are strictly adhered to, if not shortened or removed entirely
9f) Contractual deadlines, while not strictly adhered to, are taken seriously
9g) If contractual deadlines are extended, fines can be imposed and can range from $50 to $200 per day until the transaction closes
9h) Earnest money deposits tend to be increased 10) Whether the home is a short sale or a foreclosure, the buyer's offer must include, at a minimum, a letter of qualification or even approval from a lender, and, in many cases, the buyer is forced to speak with a "preferred lender" of the short sale or foreclosure lender to determine the buyer's ability to perform There you have it; the major differences between a seller's market, a buyer's market, and, the newly defined, lender's market. While the seller's market and the buyer's market have characteristics almost exactly opposite one another, the lender's market exhibits characteristics of each, but has some very unique characteristics of its own.

My conclusion is that we are currently in a lender's market, but one where the buyer still plays a major role. I hope you found this information helpful.

What You Need To Know About The Current Real Estate Market - Part II

In my last commentary I posed the question "Who is in control in the current market?" I then described the characteristics typically found in a seller's market and in this commentary I will describe the characteristics typically found in a buyer's market.

A buyer's market is typically characterized by the following:
1) An abundance of homes for sale, giving buyers greater options
2) A limited number of interested, qualified, and active homebuyers
In this case, the dynamics of supply and demand puts the buyer in charge because there are a lot of home sellers competing for a limited number of homebuyers.
3) Multiple offers on a home for sale is either very rare or non-existent
4) Homes tend to sell for less than the asking or list price
5) Homes tend to sit on the market for an extended period of time
6) The buyer tends to dictate the terms of the real estate purchase contract
6a) Sellers will entertain any and all offers, whether FHA, VA, or conventional
6b) Seller credits to cover the buyer's closing costs are very common
6c) Sellers will entertain contingent offers, which are offers contingent on the buyer finding a buyer for their own home
6d) Time frames for appraisal and loan approval contingencies are typically extended beyond the contractual 17 days or not removed until closing, although a seller can still cancel the transaction and keep the buyer's deposit
6e) Earnest money deposits can be minimal
6f) Contractual deadlines become more of a guideline or target than a hard fast rule
6g) The extension of contractual deadlines, if necessary, tend to be granted without penalty
7) Requests for repairs can be both lengthy and costly to the seller
While this list is meant to be exhaustive, it certainly doesn't cover every circumstance that constitutes a buyer's market. In the next commentary I will describe characteristics of a new player in the real estate market. One that is changing the dynamics of the market and frustrating a lot of people in the process.

What You Need To Know About The Current Real Estate Market - Part I

This is the first in a series of related commentaries I am writing about the current real estate market, which will be chock full of valuable, enlightening, and relevant information you need to know regardless of whether you are buying, selling, or neither.

Let's begin by asking a question. "Who is in control in the current market?" In other words, Are we in a seller's market or a buyer's market? The best way to answer these questions is to first consider the signs of each of these markets.

A seller's market is typically characterized by the following: 1) A limited number of homes for sale
2) A large pool of interested, qualified, and active homebuyers
In this case, the dynamics of supply and demand puts the seller in charge because there are a lot of buyers fighting over a limited supply of homes.
3) Virtually every home seller entertains multiple offers
4) Homes tend to sell for more than the asking or list price
5) Homes tend to sell rather quickly
6) The seller is the decision maker and tends to dictate the terms of the real estate purchase contract
6a) Sellers are reluctant to consider FHA and VA offers (I will cover this in more detail in another commentary)
6b) Sellers are unwilling to agree to a credit to the buyer for closing costs
6c) Sellers are less willing to entertain contingent offers, which are offers contingent upon the buyer finding a buyer for their own home
6d) Time frames for appraisal and loan approval contingencies, currently 17 days from the date of acceptance, are shortened or removed entirely
6e) Earnest money deposits tend to be increased
6f) Contractual deadlines tend to be strictly adhered to and, if not met, the transaction can be canceled and buyers' deposit becomes the property of the seller
6g) If contractual deadlines are extended, fines can be imposed and can range from $50 to $200 per day until the transaction closes 7) Requests from the buyer for repairs are denied as properties tend to sell "as-is"
While this list is meant to be exhaustive, it certainly doesn't cover every circumstance that constitutes a seller's market. In the next commentary I will cover the characteristics of a buyer's market.

What is a "Short Sale?"

There appears to be a lot of confusion out there about short sales so I thought I would take a few minutes and explain what a short sale is.

I believe the confusion stems from people in the real estate industry using industry "lingo" or terminology in conversations with people outside the real estate industry. Every industry has its own lingo and each of us needs to be aware of that as we talk with others about our respective industries. To be fair though, it isn't limited to just industry. Have you tried to communicate with a teenager via text message? I'm not even sure they are using letters in the English language.

Anyhow, contrary to popular belief, a short sale has nothing to do with a particular time frame. In fact, if you've ever been involved in a short sale you can attest to the fact that a short sale is anything but short. A short sale can take anywhere between 60 - 180 days, and that's if it happens at all.

A short sale, quite simply, is any home for sale where the total combined mortgages or loans on the property exceeds the current value of said home and the seller is unable to pay the shortage. For example, a homeowner that has a first mortgage for $300,000 and a second mortgage or home equity line of credit for $100,000 owes a total of $400,000 on the home. If he/she decides to sell the property and it is determined that the current value is $325,000 the seller of the property would have to write a check for $75,000 plus the real estate commissions ad closing costs. If the seller was unable to raise that kind of money then he/she would approach the current owner of the outstanding loan(s) on the property and ask that one or both lenders accept less money than is actually owed to them in order to allow the seller to complete the sale of the property. Not only would the lender(s) be accepting less money but they would be paying the real estate commissions and the closing costs.

That is the definition of a short sale in a nutshell.